Matehematics A4 in English - Probability Theory
2018 Fall
Andras Vetier

Requirements

Interactive Electonical Probability Text Book 

Suggested textbooks in probability


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2018-09-11:

Excel files we made during class:
2018-09-11__01_Random_number_1_experiment.xlsx
2018-09-11__02_Random_number_Many_experiments.xlsx
2018-09-11__03_Random_number_squared_Many_exp.xlsx
2018-09-11__04_square_root_of_a_Random_number_Many_exp.xlsx
2018-09-11__05_Random_number_transformed____Many_exp.xlsx
2018-09-11__06_Random_number_linearly_transformed____Many_exp.xlsx
2018-09-11__07_RANDBETWEEN_command.xlsx

Homework:
     - Study and understand the meaning of the above Excel files. Play with them to experience what they show.
     - Read and learn chapters 2-6 of   http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I.pdf   (Chapter 1 is optional)
     - Find problems from   http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I__PROBLEMS.pdf   which you are able to solve and solve them
       Put aside those problems which you find to much  difficult.

Our next Monday lesson on 16 Sept will be a problem-solving lesson.


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2018-09-18:

2018-09-17__01_BINOMDIST_FN.xlsx
2018-09-17__02_HYPERGEOMDIST_FN.xlsx

2018-09-18__01_Total_prob__and__Bayes_formulas.xlsx
2018-09-18__02_Birthday_paradox.xlsx


Next week: 15 minute long small test on Monday, 23 September.
One theoretical question and two problems.
Material: Chapters 2-8 of Part I of the textbook
.


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2018-09-25:

2018-09-24__01_three_events.xlsx
2018-09-24__02_binom.dist.xlsx
2018-09-25__01_binom_dist.xlsx


Homework:
     - Study and understand the meaning of the above Excel files. Play with them to experience what they show.
     - Read and learn chapters 1-8 of   http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II.pdf
     - Find problems from   http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II__PROBLEMS.pdf   which you are able to solve and solve them
       Put aside those problems which you find to much  difficult. You may ask question on our Mondy lesson the next week.




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Scedule of small tests:                Weeks 4, 7, 10
Scedule of big test:                     Week 12
Scedule of repeated big test:       Week 14

Small test results of students
who have signed the Declariation on
posting the test results using Neptun codes:
Small_test_1_results.xlsx


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2018-10-02:

2018-10-01___01_simulation__expected_value.xlsx
2018-10-02___01_Hypergeomdist.xlsx
2018-10-02___02_Binomdist.xlsx
2018-10-02___03_Poissondist.xlsx


Homework:
     - Study and understand the meaning of the above Excel files. Play with them to experience what they show.
     - Read and learn chapters 9 and 12-18 of   http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II.pdf
     - Find problems from   http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II__PROBLEMS.pdf   which you are able to solve and solve them
       Put aside those problems which you find to much  difficult. You may ask question on our Mondy lesson the next week.



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2018-10-09:
 


2018-10-08___01_simulation_of_1_over_RND.xlsx
2018-10-08__02_Random_number_squared_1_experiment.xlsx
2018-10-08__03_Random_number_squared_many_experiments.xlsx
2018-10-09__01_Random_variable___Uniformly_distributed.xlsx
2018-10-09__01_RND1_plus_RND2.xlsx

IMG_20181009_104002.jpg
IMG_20181009_104020.jpg
IMG_20181009_111443.jpg
IMG_20181009_111503.jpg
IMG_20181009_113800.jpg
IMG_20181009_113808.jpg
IMG_20181009_113817.jpg
IMG_20181009_113833.jpg
IMG_20181009_114115.jpg

Next week:
15 minute long small test on Monday, 23 September.
One theoretical question and two problems.

Topics:

      - Binomial, Geometrical, Poisson distributions
      - Continuous random variables (what we have taken in class)
              Theory and problem solving in these topics

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Small test results of students who have signed the Declariation on posting the test results using Neptun codes:
Small_test_2_results.xlsx


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2018-10-16:
 

2018-10-15___01___Arc-Sine_Distribution.xlsx
2018-10-15___03___Beta_distr.xlsx
2018-10-15___11___Cauchy_Distribution.xlsx
2018-10-16___01_simulation_of_Expon.xlsx




2018-10-30: 
2018-10-29_Normal_distribution.xls

3rd Small Test:
12 November, Monday
Topics:
Chapters 1, 2, 4, 6-9, 11, 13, 15-19 of

http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-III.pdf

3rd small test questions:
One question related to exponential distribution

One question related to normal distribution

One question related to 2-dim distribution
s

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2018-11-06:

IMG_20181105_143929.jpg
IMG_20181105_145605.jpg
IMG_20181105_150025.jpg
IMG_20181105_150710.jpg
IMG_20181105_151018.jpg
IMG_20181105_152013.jpg
IMG_20181105_152815.jpg
IMG_20181105_153650.jpg
IMG_20181106_105309.jpg
IMG_20181106_110503.jpg
IMG_20181106_111735.jpg
IMG_20181106_112446.jpg
IMG_20181106_113152.jpg
IMG_20181106_115418.jpg

2018-11-05___01_Two-dim_random_variables.xlsx
2018-11-05___02_2-dim_beta_dist.xlsx
2018-11-06___01_2-dim_beta_dist.xlsx
2018-11-06___02_2-dim_beta_dist.xlsx
2018-11-06___03_2-dim_beta_dist.xlsx

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Small test results of students
who have signed the
Declariation on posting the test results using Neptun codes:

Small_test_3_results.xlsx

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MIDTERM TEST on 19 November, Monday durin our lesson in Q240

Material: Everything we have taken

As regards Part IV: Chapters 1-4.

3 or 4 questions ....



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2018-11-13:
 IMG_20181113_105155.jpg
IMG_20181113_110356.jpg
IMG_20181113_112215.jpg
IMG_20181113_113800.jpg
IMG_20181113_114321.jpg


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2018-11-20:

2018-11-20___00_TRANSFORMATION_FROM_SQUARE_ONTO_SAIL.xlsx
2018-11-20___01_sqrt(RND1)_sqrt(RND2).xlsx
2018-11-20___02_(sqrt(RND1)_times_sqrt(RND2),sqrt(RND2)_div_sqrt(RND1)).xlsx

IMG_20181120_105641.jpg
IMG_20181120_105733.jpg
IMG_20181120_111113.jpg
IMG_20181120_111120.jpg
IMG_20181120_111131.jpg
IMG_20181120_113438.jpg
IMG_20181120_113443.jpg
IMG_20181120_113452.jpg



Homework:
     - Read and learn chapter 10 of   http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-IV.pdf
     - Study the files above.
       This material will not be included in the exam.

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------------------------------------------------------------ 2018-11-27:

20-18-11-26___01_Two_dim_normal.xlsx
2018-11-27___01_HeightWeigh_Proj_CondDist.xlsx

Homework:
      - Read and learn chapter 10 of  http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-IV.pdf 
      - Study the files above.


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Midterm-test_results.xlsx
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Last Monday:
Repeated midterm
Material is the same as it was on the midterm
If you come then the repeated points will count instead of the original midterm points
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After the repeated midterm, everybody will get or not  get the signature.
Those who do not get the signature will have
an EXTRA REPEAT FOR THE COURSE
on 12 DECEMBER, Wednesday, at 10:00 in E1B
(You have to register in Neptun and pay for it)
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The Exams will be held in E1B

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 Dec Exam results:    HERE

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07 Jan Exam results: see Neptun
Send an email to vetier@math.bme.hu
if you would like to see your test at 11am Wednesday in H502