Matehematics A4 in English - Probability Theory
2019 Spring
Andras Vetier

Requirements

Interactive Electonical Probability Text Book 

Suggested textbooks in probability


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2019-02-07 Thursday

2019-02-07___01_RAND_number.xlsx
2019-02-07___02_RAND_number_12_experiments.xlsx
2019-02-07___03_RAND_number_1000_experiments.xlsx
Study Chapters 2,3,4 of   http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I.pdf

2019-02-12 Tuesday
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Study Chapter 5 of   http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I.pdf

2019-02-14 Thursday
(I have not got the pictures yet.)
Study pages 10-24 of   http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I.pdf
and problems of Chapters 2-7 of    http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I_PROBLEMS.pdf

2019-02-19 Tuesday
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Study Chapters 2-7 of  
http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I.pdf
and choose and solve easear problems from Chapters 2-7 of
http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I_PROBLEMS.pdf


2019-02-26 Tuesday
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Study Chapters 1,2,4 of  
http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II.pdf

2019-02-28 Thursday
2019-02-28___01_making_calculation_with_Excel.xlsx
2019-02-28___02_making_calculation_with_Excel.xlsx
2019-02-28___03_making_calculation_with_Excel.xlsx
2019-02-28___04_making_calculation_with_Excel.xlsx
2019-02-28___05_making_calculation_with_Excel.xlsx
2019-02-28___06_making_calculation_with_Excel.xlsx
2019-02-28___07_making_calculation_with_Excel.xlsx
2019-02-28___08_making_calculation_with_Excel.xlsx

Learn Chapters 1,2,4,9 of  
http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II.pdf

Study Chapters 3,5,6,7 of  
http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II.pdf

The first small test will be on 12 March, Tuesday
Topics of the small test:
Chapters 1-9 of   http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I.pdf
Chapters 1-9 and 13-17 of  http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II.pdf

2019-03-05 Tuesday
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Learn 1-9 and 13-17 of  http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II.pdf
 

2019-03-07 Thursday
Hypergeometrical distribution
(Mathematical and Excel formula,
constructing the figure of the distribution with Excel)
20 people going for hike - simulation
Average compared to expected value

Topics of the small test:
Chapters 2-7 of  http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I.pdf
and 1-9 and 13-17 of  http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II.pdf



2019-03-12 Tuesday
2019-03-12___00.jpg
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2019-03_12___01.xlsx
2019_03_12___Point-Cloud_for_Arc-Sine_Distribution.xlsx
2019_03_12___Point-Cloud_for_Cauchy_Distribution.xlsx

Study chapters 1,2, 6,7,8,9 of  http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-III.pdf


2019-03-14 Thursday
Discussing the problems of Small Test 1.
Exponential distribution - study Chapter 11 of  http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-III.pdf


Our lesson on 26, March will be not held.

2019-03-28 Thursday
Exponential and normal distribution s- study Chapters 12 and 13 of  http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-III.pdf


2019-04-02 Tuesday
2019_04_02___01_Sum_of_20_fair_dice.xls
2019_04_02___02_Sum_of_20_unfair_dice.xls
2019_04_02___03_Sum_of_20_ufair_dice_with_a_U_shaped_distribution.xls
Study
Chapter 19 of  http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-III.pdf
Chapter    8 of http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-IV.pdf


2019-04-04 Thursday
2019_04_02___03_Sum_of_20_ufair_dice_with_a_U_shaped_distribution.xls
2019-04-04___01_Standard_normal_distribution.xlsx
2019-04-04___02_simulation_of_norm_r.v.s.xlsx


Consultations:
10 April, Wednesday from 4:00 to 5:30pm and
11 April Thursday from 4:00 to 4:45pm.
If you plan to come, please, write an email to
vetier@math.bme.hu
one day before the consultation time.


2019-04-11 Thursday
2019-04-11___01_Number_of_necessary_experiments.xlsx


The Second Small Test will be on 16 April, Tuesday
Topics of Second Small Test
from Part III:
1 Continuous random variables
2 Distribution function
4 Density function 5
6 Uniform distributions
7 Distributions of some functions of random numbers
8 Arc-sine distribution
9 Cauchy distribution
11 Exponential distribution
12 Gamma distribution
13 Normal distributions
16 Expected value of continuous distributions
17 Expected value of a function of a continuous random variable
19 Standard deviation, etc
from Part IV:
8 Properties of the expected value, variance and standard deviation (Point 7. "Variance of a sum" can be skipped)
12 Limit theorems to normal distributions


2019-04-16 Tuesday
2019-04-16___01_Probabilities.xlsx
2019-04-16___02_Marginal_distributions.xlsx
2019-04-16___03_Conditional_distributions.xlsx
Study Chapter 19
Projections and conditional distributions for discrete distributions
of
http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II.pdf


2019-04-18 Thursday
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Study Chapters 1, 2, 4 of http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-IV.pdf

 

2019-04-23 Tuesday
2019-04-23___01_Height_Weight.xls
2019-04-23___02_Two_dim_normal.xlsx
2019-04-23___03_Using_conditional_distributions_for_normal_distributions.xlsx
Study Chapter 5 of http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-IV.pdf

The Third Small Test will be an oral exam on 30 April, Tuesday
Topics of Thirsd Small Test are the same as of
Second Small Test (see above)
Notions, theorems, methods, proofs will be asked.


2019-05-02 Thursday
2019-05-02___01_Expon_distr_transformed_by_squaring.xlsx
2019-05-02___01_Lognormal_random_variable.xlsx
2019-05-02___03_Log-normal.xls
Study
   Chapter 14 Distributions derived from normal
   Chapter 21 Transformation from line to line
   of http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-III.pdf
and
   Chapter   9 Transformation from plane to line
   Chapter 10 Transformation from plane to plane
   of http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-IV.pdf

Midterm test: 14 May, (Tuesday)
Material:
Everything we have taken during the whole term


2019-05-07 Tuesday
2019-05-07___01_Number_of_failures.xlsx


2019-05-09 Thursday
 2019--05-09___01_Probability_controll.xlsx

Repeated Midterm Test: 22 May, Wednesday, 8am, E1C

Students have to register in Neptun


Exams:
27 May, 3, 17, 24 June, (all these 4 dates are Mondays) at 10am in E1C

Students have to register in Neptun
(
The exams will occur soon in the Neptun system)